Senior Lecturer in Biostatisics
Faculty of Health Sciences
Flinders University
GPO Box 2100
Adelaide, SA 5001, Australia

Education

• 2007 Ph.D. in Statistics, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University, Clayton, VIC 3800, Australia.
• 1992 M.Sc. in Statistics, Department of Statistics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh.
• 1990 B.Sc. Honours in Statistics,Department of Statistics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh.

Research InterestsDemographic and time series forecasting, functional data analysis, epidemiological modelling and forecasting, nonparametric smoothing, statistical modelling.

Publications

• Rayhan, M. I., M. S. H. Khan and S. Ullah (2007) Impacts of bio-social factors on morbidity among children aged under-5 in Bangladesh. Asia-Pacific PopulationJournal, Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, 22(1) 65-75.
• Hyndman, R. J. and S. Ullah (2007) Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: A functional data approach”. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis,51, 4942-4956.
• Asaduzzaman, M. and S. Ullah (2003) Desire for more children in Bangladesh: Evi-dence from BDHS 1999-2000. Social Science Review, The Dhaka University Studies,Part-D, 20(2), 149-159.
• Ullah, S. and B. Zainab (1999) Modern and traditional contraceptive behavior among rural and urban women of Bangladesh: A logistic regression analysis. Journal of Gynecologic Techniques, 5(3), 95-100.
• Hasin, A. and S. Ullah (1996) Factors affecting birth weight in poor urban population of Dhaka. Dhaka University Journal of Biological Sciences, 5(1), 77-86.
• Ullah, S. and B. Zainab (1995) Rural-urban differentials in the use of contraception in Bangladesh: A multivariate analysis. Journal of Gynecologic Technique, 1(4), 207-212.
• Ullah, S. and N. Chakraborty (1994) Access to family planning workers facilities choice of modern over traditional methods in Bangladesh. International Family Planning Perspectives (Digest form), 21(2) 86-87.
• Yusuf, H. K. M., Q. Salamatullah, M. N. Islam, T. Hoque, K. M. Rahman, M. Mohiduzzaman, B. Nahar, M. M. Rahman, M. A. Khan, S. Ullah, M. Baquer, and C. S. Pandav (1994) Current status of iodine-deficiency disorders in Bangladesh. The Lancet (Digest form), 343, 1367-1368.
• Ullah, S. and N. Chakraborty (1994) The use of modern and traditional methods of fertility control in Bangladesh: A multivariate analysis. The Journal of Contracep-tion, 50(4), 363-372.
• Salamatullah, Q., M. R. Khan, M. Mohiduzzaman, B. Nahar, M. M. Rahman, L.Nahar, M. N. Islam, M. A. Khan, S. Ullah, T. Hoque, M. Baquer, C. S. Pandav and H. K. M. Yusuf (1994) The national IDD survey of Bangladesh-1993: Biochem-ical iodine deficiency in individual mauzas. Dhaka University Journal of Biological Science, 3(2), 181-188.
• Yusuf, H. K. M., Q. Salamatullah, T. Hoque, M. N. Islam, M. Mohiduzzaman, M. R. Khan, B. Nahar, M. M. Rahman, M. A. Khan, S. Ullah, M. Baquer, and C. S. Pandav (1994) The national IDD survey of Bangladesh-1993: Prevalence of goitre in individual mauzas. Dhaka University Journal of Biological Science, 3(2), 173-179.
• Ullah, S. and N. Chakraborty (1993) Factors affecting the use of contraception in Bangladesh: A multivariate analysis. Asia-Pacific Population Journal, Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, 8(3) 19-30.

Conference Papers

• Ullah, S. and R. J. Hyndman (2006) Mortality forecasts for a group of populations: A functional data approach. 26th International Symposium on Forecasting held on 11-14 June, 2006, International Institute of Forecasters, Santander, Spain.
• Ullah, S. and R. J. Hyndman (2005) Functional models for forecasting. 25th International Symposium on Forecasting held on 12-15 June, 2005, International Institute of Forecasters, San Antonio, TX, United States.
• Ullah, S. and R. J. Hyndman (2004) Order selection for functional forecasting. 24th International Symposium on Forecasting held on 4-8 June, 2004, International Insti-tute of Forecasters, Sydney, Australia.
• Hyndman, R. J. and S. Ullah (2003) Robust forecasting of functional data with applications in demography. 9th Annual Doctoral Conference held on 27-28 October, 2003, Faculty of Business and Economics, Monash University, Victoria, Australia.
• Hyndman, R. J. and S. Ullah (2003) A functional data approach to mortality forecasting. 23rd International Symposium on Forecasting held on 15-18 June, 2003, International Institute of Forecasters, Merida, Yucatan, Mexico.
• Ullah, S. and N. Chakraborty (1992) Factors affecting the use of contraception in Bangladesh: a multivariate analysis. 4th National Statistical Conference held on 18-19 December, 1992, Bangladesh Statistical Association, Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Papers under construction

1. Erbas, B., S. Ullah, R. J. Hyndman and M. Abramson (2007) Asthma mortality forecasting using functional data analysis.
2. Erbas, B., S. Ullah, R. J. Hyndman and M. Abramson (2007) COPD mortality forecasting using functional data analysis.
3. Ullah, S. and R. J. Hyndman (2007) Order selection for functional forecasting.
4. 4. Ullah, S. and R. J. Hyndman (2007) Mortality forecasts for a group of populations: A functional data approach.
5. Ullah, S. and R. J. Hyndman (2007) Model selection of mortality forecasts for a group of populations: A functional data approach. Uppublished papers

Thesis

• Phd Thesis: A Functional Data Approach to Demographic Forecasting, Department of Econometrics and Business statistics, Monash University, Clayton, VIC 3800, Australia.
• M.Sc. Thesis: Factors Affecting the Use of Contraception in Bangladesh: A Multivariate Analysis. Department of Statistics, University of Dhaka, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh

Membership

• Member, International Institute of Forecasters.
• Member, Population Modeling and Forecasting Network, Australian Centre for Population Research, Research School of Social Sciences, Australian
• National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia.
• Life member, Bangladesh Statistical Association (BSA).