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| Full Title: | Determination of Sample Size for Phase II Clinical Trials in Multiple Sclerosis using Lesional Recovery as an Outcome Measure |
| Speaker: | Md Mahsin, MSc |
| Institute of Statistical Research and Training (ISRT) University of Dhaka, Bangladesh |
|
| Date/Time: | Wednesday, May 20, 2015, 3:30pm |
| Venue: | Institute of Statistical Research & Training (3rd floor) |
Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an inammatory demyelinating disease of the central nervous system. The hallmark feature of the disease is the formation of focal demyelinating lesions accompanied by myelin destruction in the white matter (WM). Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is used identify and visualize these lesions. Repeated MRI scanning of patients (most often monthly) over period of months has become a standard protocol for Phase II trials of experimental treatment in MS. The formation of WM lesions in MS is characterized by in ammatory demyelination and then remyelination usually occurs over several months after lesion formation. Hence, a measure reecting lesional recovery is a promising outcome for phase II clinical trials that assess the effect of therapies intended to induce remyelination. Our objective is to provide sample sizes required to detect such an experimental treatment effect with certain statistical power. We consider a parallel group design with two arms of equal number of subjects. The study design is considered as a three level hierarchical data structure where lesions are nested within subjects and are assessed repeatedly over the study period. Variable numbers of new enhancing lesions per subject and variable numbers of measurements at before and after enhancement (depends on the time of the lesion’s appearance) are also considered. The numbers of subjects in each treatment arm necessary to obtain statistical powers of 80% or 90% are determined for different numbers (6; 9; 12) of monthly follow-up scans. A mixed-effects linear regression model is used for this sample size determination.

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Director,
Institute of Applied Statistics
and Data Science (IASDS)
University of Dhaka
Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh